My Predictions for The New Year
It is the end of the year, and time to make predictions for 2010
Jeron Criswell—The Amazing Criswell—was a psychic, famous for making wildly inaccurate predictions. He was a guest on talk shows of 1960’s, such the Jack Parr show, where he made many of his predictions.
Today I want to make my own predictions for 2010. I doubt that I will be as accurate as The Amazing Criswell, but I will try.
Here is a famous introduction he did for an Ed Wood movie:
One example of his predictions is, according to Wikipedia:
Denver would be struck by a ray from space that would cause all metal to adopt the qualities of rubber, leading to horrific accidents at amusement parks.
Pretty tough to top his predictions, but let’s try.
0⇂0ᄅ ɹoɟ uoıʇɔıpǝɹd ʎɯ
Here are my predictions—they all are for the year 2010.
- A problem on Stephen Smale’s list of open problems will be solved.
- No circuit lower bound of or better will be proved for SAT.
- A quantum computer will solve a non-trivial problem.
- A Computer Scientist will win a Nobel Prize.
- The Goldbach Conjecture will finally be solved—negatively. The number
will be shown not to be the sum of two primes.
- I will have a paper rejected by a conference.
- Spam will grow to be 100.001% of all e-mail. The 0.001 is due to sampling error.
- Someone will discover a polynomial time factoring algorithm—but will not tell anyone.
- On April over 3 billion people will type “google” into the Google search box, then precisely at 12:00 GMT they will all hit the enter key. This will cause the Internet to crash, and it will be down for 17 hours and 12 minutes.
- At least one of my predictions will be wrong, but not all of them.
What are your best predictions? I further predict that someone will make a better prediction, than any I have made.
Happy New Year.